4 May 2017

CASE STUDY - The Operational riddle of a health insurance company

(This case study can be used for quantitative reasoning ability for healthcare managers. It is based on price decision of a health insurance product.)

Background situation

‘Health4all’ a health insurance company, discovered a town in sub-urban area with a population of 1 lac people. They found that no health insurance company has so far tapped this area and a significant number of people are desirous of buying a health insurance product. Buoyed by the business opportunity, the CEO asked the operations head to start working on selling your insurance plan here, with a clear stated objective of maximizing profit.
As an operations head you made all arrangement to launch your flagship health insurance policy in the town, which gives the customer a cover of 1 lac rupees for a premium of Rs. 1000/-. Customer have to undergo a health check-up (paid by the company) to determine any pre-existing diseases. Company doesn’t pay for the treatment of pre-existing diseases found in health check-up.


Based on the past data you have some good prediction of saleability of the plan,
      1.       At Rs. 1000/- as a cost to buyer, 20% of the population will buy the plan
      2.       Change in cost to buyer is inversely proportional to the change in number of buyers
Before launching you thought of collecting some epidemiological data and found that a significant number of people in this town suffers from 3 distinct type of diseases, which are not prevalent in other places. The usual health check-up under the policy, doesn’t include test of these 3 diseases. This may affect your profitability as you will not be able to exclude those who have any of these 3 disease as pre-existing.

Additional data

So, you started gathering information on prevalence of these diseases and costs involved in test and treatment of these diseases, which is given below
Disease
Prevalence
Test cost
TT cost
A
0.5%
200
75000
B
1%
100
20000
C
2%
200
5000

If you include any of these tests in your plan, you will have to ask the customer to pay the test cost separately to the lab. This means that cost to buyer will increase, leading to proportionate decrease in number of buyers.
If you do not include these tests, number of people equivalent to prevalence will take treatment of the disease and will claim for the treatment amount, during policy period. This will reduce your profitability.

Questions to be solved
  1. If you do not take any new information in consideration and just go by your past data, how many people will buy your plan? What will be the total amount you collect from premium?
  2. Continuing with answer of the above question, how many people will claim for treatment of pre-existing disease A, B and C? What will be the total amount you have to pay to settle for these claims? What profit remains.
  3. If you include tests for all 3 diseases, how much cost will increase for buyer? how many people will now buy your plan at this cost?
  4. Continuing with answer of question 3, how much amount you have to pay to settle the claims arising out of treatment of pre-existing diseases A, B and C?
  5. List out all possible options that you have with regards to inclusion or exclusion of the given diseases’ tests in health check-up.
  6. Which option should you go ahead with?
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